Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.463502 0.509397 0.558649 0.615565 0.679686 0.749871 0.832758
2025-11-09 0.380637 0.442703 0.514079 0.602772 0.710773 0.838964 1.004052
2025-11-16 0.340325 0.411156 0.496524 0.608083 0.751630 0.932340 1.180607
2025-11-23 0.307163 0.382168 0.475936 0.603460 0.775006 1.001647 1.330346
2025-11-30 0.284402 0.362868 0.464106 0.606668 0.806139 1.081362 1.500816
2025-12-07 0.261642 0.340932 0.445981 0.598360 0.818913 1.134977 1.638344
2025-12-14 0.242552 0.321998 0.429764 0.590298 0.829910 1.185445 1.775383
2025-12-21 0.222325 0.299784 0.406957 0.570251 0.820485 1.203133 1.861318
2025-12-28 0.213656 0.293017 0.405225 0.580487 0.857028 1.294444 2.078261
2026-01-04 0.205163 0.285774 0.402039 0.587871 0.889231 1.381408 2.298690
2026-01-11 0.196564 0.277705 0.396890 0.591488 0.915217 1.460100 2.514387
2026-01-18 0.188589 0.269990 0.391620 0.594243 0.939610 1.538002 2.738845
2026-01-25 0.181567 0.263429 0.387880 0.599486 0.969270 1.629489 3.006122
2026-02-01 0.171142 0.251018 0.374179 0.587150 0.967087 1.662690 3.160903
2026-02-08 0.165356 0.245497 0.371040 0.592292 0.996385 1.757821 3.460695
2026-02-15 0.158082 0.237168 0.362770 0.587815 1.007380 1.818354 3.694108
2026-02-22 0.152857 0.231826 0.359036 0.590922 1.032684 1.909890 4.013349
2026-03-01 0.145941 0.223343 0.349519 0.582875 1.035637 1.955592 4.231270
2026-03-08 0.139565 0.215428 0.340505 0.575065 1.038259 2.000676 4.455262
2026-03-15 0.131617 0.204518 0.325773 0.555643 1.015895 1.989206 4.532729
2026-03-22 0.129101 0.202644 0.326617 0.565561 1.054252 2.116293 4.999376
2026-03-29 0.126269 0.200078 0.326068 0.572715 1.087421 2.235574 5.469473
2026-04-05 0.123028 0.196640 0.323754 0.576218 1.113048 2.340283 5.920288